If you are like me, you are probably sick of hearing the names Adrian Beltre, Mark DeRosa, Chone Figgins, Placido Polanco, Brandon Lyon, Jose Valverde and Fernando Rodney. We still have the entire offseason of discussing these players, so let's take a diversion and look at five trades and free agent signings that probably won't happen but could make sense for the Philadelphia Phillies.
Braves trade SP Derek Lowe to Phillies for RP Brad Lidge
Why it could work: Brad Lidge is a player who needs a change of scenery every few years. He struggled with the Houston Astros prior to his trade to the Phillies so another trade could help Lidge become a quality closer again. The Braves' top two relievers from 2009, Rafael Soriano and Mike Gonzalez, are both free agents. Lowe struggled in his first year with the Braves but as a sinker ball pitcher, could see a rebound with the Phillies' excellent infield defense. The Braves have six starting pitchers under contract next year and are expected to trade Lowe or Javier Vazquez.
Potential problems: Both players have large contracts, with Lidge owed $36 million over the next three seasons and Lowe owed $45 million for the next three seasons. The Braves may not have confidence in Lidge to return to elite status and the Phillies may be reluctant to have a 37-year-old pitcher with declining numbers for the next three years. The Phillies have a full rotation already, although there is room to improve.
Nationals trade 3B Ryan Zimmerman to Phillies for SP J.A. Happ, SP Jamie Moyer, SP Antonio Bastardo, OF Michael Taylor and cash
Why it could work: The Phillies need a third baseman (preferrably a defensive standout) and Zimmerman fits that description perfectly and is an offesnive juggernaut as well. Zimmerman is only 25 and under contract through 2014. The Phillies have the pitching depth to give up three starting pitchers while the Nationals have a huge need for pitching as they currently have only one Major League-caliber starter (John Lannan). The Nationals have expressed an interest in acquiring a veteran starter to mentor the young pitching and Moyer is a perfect fit for them. Happ could be the Nationals' ace for next season and it would make sense for the Phillies to trade him now. Bastardo and Taylor are Major League ready but there may not be room for them on the Phillies roster so they could be expendable.
Potential Problems: Zimmerman is the face of the Nationals' franchise and by far their best player so the Nationals would be very reluctant to trade him. Happ, Bastardo and Taylor are not yet arbitration-eligible but Moyer is owed $6.5 million for next year (while Zimmerman is only owed $5 million) so the Nationals may require the Phillies to eat some of Moyer's salary.
White Sox trade RP Bobby Jenks and cash to Phillies for 3B Pedro Feliz
Why it could work: The Phillies need another reliever and the White Sox need a third baseman. Jenks will get a small arbitration raise over his $5.6 million salary from next year and Feliz has a $5 million option for 2010.
Potential problems: This trade was plausible a couple of weeks ago but since then the White Sox have traded for Mark Teahen to play third base and the Phillies have declined Pedro Feliz's option for 2010. This trade will not happen.
Phillies sign Brad Penny
Why it could work: Last season, Penny had success in the National League with the San Francisco Giants after a disastrous stint in the American League with the Boston Red Sox. However, the Phillies could look to use Penny in the bullpen. Throughout his career, Penny has much better numbers against hitters the first time through the lineup than the second time. The Phillies could shift Penny to a starter if there is a vacancy in the rotation. Penny is a highly emotional pitcher who can start or relieve similar to Brett Myers, who will not be returning to the Phillies next year. Penny may also be motivated to pitch for the Phillies to defeat his former team, the Florida Marlins.
Potential Problems: As a career starter, Penny may have trouble or may be reluctant to shift to the bullpen. Penny will probably have contract offers to be a starter from other teams that were similar to the 1 year, $5 million contract that Penny signed with the Red Sox this season. To sign Penny, the Phillies would need to beat that offer and the Phillies may not want to commit that much money to a reliever.
Phillies sign Eric Hinske
Why it could work: With Matt Stairs unlikely to return for next season, the Phillies could use a left-handed hitting reserve outfielder and Hinske would fit in perfectly. He would also be a defensive improvement over Stairs. Hinske should be affordable and could also fill in at third base in a pinch. Hinske has also played on the last three American League champion teams, winning World Series titles with the Red Sox in 2007 and the New York Yankees in 2009. Hinske also struck out to record the final out for the Tampa Bay Rays against the Phillies in the 2008 World Series.
Potential Problems: There doesn't seem to be any drawbacks here though Hinske may prefer the American League or will look for more playing time.
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Showing posts with label brad lidge. Show all posts
Showing posts with label brad lidge. Show all posts
Tuesday, November 17, 2009
Friday, November 6, 2009
Offseason Report
Yesterday, I looked a what the offseason would bring for the individual Phillies and today let's take a look at what lies ahead for the team.
As of today, the Phillies roster for 2010 is as follows:
C: Carlos Ruiz*
C:
1B: Ryan Howard
2B: Chase Utley
3B: Pedro Feliz#
IF: Greg Dobbs
IF: Eric Bruntlett*
LF: Raul Ibanez
CF: Shane Victorino
RF: Jayson Werth
OF: Ben Francisco
OF:
Others of note: John Mayberry
SP: Cliff Lee#
SP: Cole Hamels
SP: Joe Blanton*
SP: J.A. Happ
SP: Jamie Moyer
RP:
RP: Tyler Walker*
RP: Clay Condrey*
RP: Chad Durbin
RP: J.C. Romero
RP: Ryan Madson
RP: Brad Lidge
Others of note: Kyle Kendrick, Antonio Bastardo, Sergio Escalona, Jack Taschner
*=The player is arbitration-eligible
#=Club option
Let's take a look at each position opening:
BACKUP CATCHER
If Paul Bako chooses not to retire, the Phillies could easily bring him back. Should Bako retire, the Phillies do not have an internal replacement so they will have to look elsewhere. The Phillies could reunite with Chris Coste or Sal Fasano. Other cheap options for the backup catcher include Henry Blanco, Josh Bard, Jose Molina or Miguel Olivo.
THIRD BASE
The Phillies need to decide by Monday on whether or not they will pick up Pedro Feliz's $5 million option for next year. As covered here, the decision to exercise the option is a tough decision. Free agent options include Adrian Beltre and Chone Figgins while possible trade targets include Ryan Zimmerman, Kevin Kouzmanoff and Casey Blake. If the Phillies feel they can get one of these players for a reasonable price, they should decline Feliz's option and make the deal, otherwise it would be wise to bring back Feliz.
UTILITY INFIELDER
The Phillies do have Eric Bruntlett under team control for another year but the Phillies would probably want to sign someone more prolific offensively. While the top utility infielders such as Marco Scutaro, Felipe Lopez and Mark DeRosa may seek a starting role and be too expensive for the Phillies, they can sign a less costly option such as Rich Aurilia, Adam Kennedy or Craig Counsell. The Phillies could also opt to re-sign Miguel Cairo.
FIFTH OUTFIELDER
The Phillies could use a left-handed bat off of the bench to compliment Greg Dobbs and could use a fifth outfielder. The Phillies could choose to bring back Matt Stairs but may be reluctant to do so after his atrocious second half to the season. Other targets could include Eric Hinske, Randy Winn or Frank Catalanatto.
STARTING PITCHING
As expected, the Phillies exercised Cliff Lee's option today which gives the Phillies a five-man rotation for next year. However, there is still room for improvement in the rotation with Jamie Moyer coming off of an unproductive season and offseason surgery. To increase starting pitching depth, the Phillies could sign a pitcher coming off of injury such as Ben Sheets, Erik Bedard or Justin Duchscherer. Although the Phillies will not re-sign Brett Myers, they could re-sign Pedro Martinez. The Phillies could also trade Happ in an attempt to sign a more veteran starter, such as Javier Vazquez, Roy Halladay or Bronson Arroyo.
BULLPEN
The biggest question mark in the bullpen is obviously the closer's role. Brad Lidge was untrustworthy in 2009 and Ryan Madson struggled when asked to close. The Phillies could use another good reliever and Jose Valverde and Bobby Jenks could be available via trade while intriguing free agent options include J.J. Putz, Rafael Betancourt and LaTroy Hawkins. The Phillies could also choose to bring back Chan Ho Park and/or Tyler Walker. Additionally, the club needs a left-handed reliever to complement J.C. Romero but may stay internal for the position (Scott Eyre (if he returns), Sergio Escalona or Antonio Bastardo).
Read more!
As of today, the Phillies roster for 2010 is as follows:
C: Carlos Ruiz*
C:
1B: Ryan Howard
2B: Chase Utley
3B: Pedro Feliz#
IF: Greg Dobbs
IF: Eric Bruntlett*
LF: Raul Ibanez
CF: Shane Victorino
RF: Jayson Werth
OF: Ben Francisco
OF:
Others of note: John Mayberry
SP: Cliff Lee#
SP: Cole Hamels
SP: Joe Blanton*
SP: J.A. Happ
SP: Jamie Moyer
RP:
RP: Tyler Walker*
RP: Clay Condrey*
RP: Chad Durbin
RP: J.C. Romero
RP: Ryan Madson
RP: Brad Lidge
Others of note: Kyle Kendrick, Antonio Bastardo, Sergio Escalona, Jack Taschner
*=The player is arbitration-eligible
#=Club option
Let's take a look at each position opening:
BACKUP CATCHER
If Paul Bako chooses not to retire, the Phillies could easily bring him back. Should Bako retire, the Phillies do not have an internal replacement so they will have to look elsewhere. The Phillies could reunite with Chris Coste or Sal Fasano. Other cheap options for the backup catcher include Henry Blanco, Josh Bard, Jose Molina or Miguel Olivo.
THIRD BASE
The Phillies need to decide by Monday on whether or not they will pick up Pedro Feliz's $5 million option for next year. As covered here, the decision to exercise the option is a tough decision. Free agent options include Adrian Beltre and Chone Figgins while possible trade targets include Ryan Zimmerman, Kevin Kouzmanoff and Casey Blake. If the Phillies feel they can get one of these players for a reasonable price, they should decline Feliz's option and make the deal, otherwise it would be wise to bring back Feliz.
UTILITY INFIELDER
The Phillies do have Eric Bruntlett under team control for another year but the Phillies would probably want to sign someone more prolific offensively. While the top utility infielders such as Marco Scutaro, Felipe Lopez and Mark DeRosa may seek a starting role and be too expensive for the Phillies, they can sign a less costly option such as Rich Aurilia, Adam Kennedy or Craig Counsell. The Phillies could also opt to re-sign Miguel Cairo.
FIFTH OUTFIELDER
The Phillies could use a left-handed bat off of the bench to compliment Greg Dobbs and could use a fifth outfielder. The Phillies could choose to bring back Matt Stairs but may be reluctant to do so after his atrocious second half to the season. Other targets could include Eric Hinske, Randy Winn or Frank Catalanatto.
STARTING PITCHING
As expected, the Phillies exercised Cliff Lee's option today which gives the Phillies a five-man rotation for next year. However, there is still room for improvement in the rotation with Jamie Moyer coming off of an unproductive season and offseason surgery. To increase starting pitching depth, the Phillies could sign a pitcher coming off of injury such as Ben Sheets, Erik Bedard or Justin Duchscherer. Although the Phillies will not re-sign Brett Myers, they could re-sign Pedro Martinez. The Phillies could also trade Happ in an attempt to sign a more veteran starter, such as Javier Vazquez, Roy Halladay or Bronson Arroyo.
BULLPEN
The biggest question mark in the bullpen is obviously the closer's role. Brad Lidge was untrustworthy in 2009 and Ryan Madson struggled when asked to close. The Phillies could use another good reliever and Jose Valverde and Bobby Jenks could be available via trade while intriguing free agent options include J.J. Putz, Rafael Betancourt and LaTroy Hawkins. The Phillies could also choose to bring back Chan Ho Park and/or Tyler Walker. Additionally, the club needs a left-handed reliever to complement J.C. Romero but may stay internal for the position (Scott Eyre (if he returns), Sergio Escalona or Antonio Bastardo).
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Thursday, November 5, 2009
Year End Wrap-Up
Well, that was tough to take. It was very evident that the Philadelphia Phillies did not play their best baseball in the World Series while the New York Yankees looked pretty damn good. Despite all of the attention that Brad Lidge and his perfect season received last year, this series showed how easy it is to take the end of a game for granted when a game is virtually over after seven or eight innings. Anyway, let's give out some season end awards for the Phillies and take a quick look at each individual Phillie's season and what could be in store for the future.
PHILLIES' ROOKIE OF THE YEAR: J.A. Happ
There's no doubt about this award as Happ is a favorite to win the National League Rookie of the Year as well. The 26-year-old left-hander's 2.93 ERA ranked eighth in the National League to go along with an impressive won-loss record of 12-4. No other rookie on the Phillies had close to this much of an impact on the team.
STEVE CARLTON AWARD: Joe Blanton
Blanton's 12-8 record with a 4.05 ERA may not be as good as Happ's numbers but Blanton wins the Steve Carlton Award because of the stretch of games from May 26th through September 5th. During this time period, Blanton was by far the team's most consistent starter. In these 18 appearances, Blanton failed to record a quality start only once, went at least five innings in every outing and logged a 2.59 ERA to go along with a 7-3 record. Blanton's ability to pitch lots of quality innings in this time period decreased the Phillies' reliance on a much maligned bullpen and minimized the number of starts needed from struggling starters such as Rodrigo Lopez, Antonio Bastardo and Jamie Moyer.
MOST VALUABLE PHILLIE: Chase Utley
A number of players could have won this award, including, but Utley has had the best all-around season. His .282 batting average and 31 home runs may not seem that impressive compared to the rest of the team, but Utley led the team with a .397 on-base percentage, which was especially important as he hit in front of mashers Ryan Howard, Jayson Werth and Raul Ibanez in the lineup. This contributed to Utley's team leading 112 runs, which was also the third best total in the National League. An argument for Shane Victorino to win this award could be based on his speed but Utley only stole two fewer bases than Victorino this year and, while Victorino was caught stealing eight times, Utley was not even caught once. Lastly, not only does Utley play a tough defensive position, he was the best fielder on the team, according to Fangraphs.
ADAM EATON AWARD: Brad Lidge
This is another very easy award to give as the numbers speak for themselves. Compare Lidge's excellent 2008 season to his, well not so excellent, 2009 season:
2008-72 games, 69 1/3 innings, 50 H (6.5/9 inn), 1.23 WHIP, 17 R (15 ER), 2-0, 1.95 ERA, 92 K, 42/42 SV
2009-67 games, 58 2/3 innings, 72 H (11.0/9 inn), 1.81 WHIP 51 R (47 ER), 0-8, 7.21 ERA, 61 K, 31/42 SV
LEAST VALUABLE PHILLIE: Lidge
See the commentary for the Adam Eaton award.
Lastly, I'll end with a blurb for each of the member of the Phillies' 40-man roster, reflecting on their 2009 season and what is in store for 2010:
Paul Bako-I will probably never fully warm up to you because you replaced Chris Coste as backup catcher but I don't really have anything against you personally. If you decide to play another season, I have no problem with you trying to earn the backup catcher's spot again.
Antonio Bastardo-You showed some impressive flashes this season. You still need to improve your pitching if you want to be a Major League starter. Hopefully, you will be back with the Phillies soon.
Joe Blanton-You were the Phillies' most consistent pitcher this year and I look forward to seeing what you are able to do in your contract year in 2010.
Eric Bruntlett-Even the 25th man on the roster should be able to hit a little bit. You're due a raise in arbitration from your $800,000 salary and I don't think you'll be worth it and should be non-tendered. Thanks for the unassisted triple play, Eric.
Miguel Cairo-I suppose the quality of your play is slightly above Bruntlett's. If you're willing to accept another 1 year, $500,000 contract, I'd welcome you back, if not, we can find your level of (lack of) production elsewhere.
Drew Carpenter-I haven't seen much promise from you yet and I doubt that you have a future in the Major Leagues. I guess you're okay as the guy who gets called up from AAA for a few days a year when the bullpen is worn out or the Phillies need a spot starter.
Clay Condrey-You got shoved out of the way during the postseason but I like what you've been able to do for the team the past two years and hope you can continue your strong play in 2010.
Greg Dobbs-2009 was a disappointment but I'm still happy with you as a left-handed option off of the bench. If the Phillies exercise Feliz's option, I'd be comfortable giving you some more starts next season.
Chad Durbin-The first half of 2008 was probably a fluke, but I think you're still good enough to keep a spot on the team for next year, if you are able to lower your walk rate as 6.1 walks per nine innings is unacceptable.
Sergio Escalona-I like your enthusiasm and think that you'll be a decent relief pitcher someday. You deserve a shot at making the Major League roster next year, especially if Scott Eyre retires.
Scott Eyre-If you choose to come back next year, I would welcome you back with open arms. You've done a tremendous job filling in as the top left-handed option in the bullpen with J.C. Romero suspended and injured for much of the season. You also are also a great clubhouse presence.
Pedro Feliz-Pete Happy, you represent one of the most difficult decisions for the Phillies this offseason. I've already covered your option for next year and I think it's going to be a close call as your offensive and defensive skills are on the decline. If the Phillies can't get anyone better in the offseason, then you should be back next year, otherwise, good luck in your hunt to land a starting job for next season, Pedro.
Ben Francisco-Well, my gut feeling that you would have a big postseason did not come to fruition, but I still think you are a very good fourth outfielder and will play an important role on the 2010 squad.
Cole Hamels-I was comparing your peripheral statistics the other day between 2008 and 2009 and noticed that they were eerily similar. You probably won't post a 3.09 ERA again but I suspect that you will return to ace form again. A lot of good, young pitchers (Justin Verlander, Jake Peavy) have had off years in their age 25 season and I suspect that you are no different.
J.A. Happ-As I stated earlier, you've had a fantastic season, possibly worthy of an NL Rookie of the Year award. I think the Phillies should reward you for your great season with a trade. Your peripheral numbers (such as a .270 BABIP and a whopping 85.2% of runners leyour great year and affordability, the Phillies should look to see what they can get for you in the trade market.
Paul Hoover-You aren't good enough to be on a Major League team but I don't think I've ever seen somebody not on the roster get so excited over playoff wins. Congratulations on having the last hit (a walkoff RBI single) of the Phillies' 2009 regular season.
Ryan Howard-You had another good year and I'm looking forward to seeing another 40+ home run, 130+ RBI season in 2010. However, when your contract is up after the 2012 season, I hope the Phillies let you move on rather than overpay to keep an aging slugger.
Raul Ibanez-That was certainly a great first season in Philadelphia, Rauuuuuul! Hopefully, 2010 and 2011 can be just as successful.
Kyle Kendrick-After the 2008 season I thought you were a lost cause but you didn't look too bad in 2009. Keep working on your pitches and I think you at least deserve a shot at being the #5 pitcher on the 2010 team.
Cliff Lee-I have no reason to believe that you can't be win the NL Cy Young Award in 2010. The Phillies have talked about giving you a contract extension this offseason but I don't think that's necessary given how cheap your option ($9 million) is for next year.
Brad Lidge-Well, this year was a disaster. Perhaps you are the type of player who just needs a change of scenery every couple of years (you experience similar trouble near the end of your Houston Astros career). Perhaps the Phillies will be able to match up with another team and engage in a "bad contract swap" and you will get a third chance to prove yourself.
Ryan Madson-You had another fine season although you did struggle at times in save opportunities in the ninth inning. I think you deserve an extended look in the ninth inning to see if you can be next year's "closer" (barring a comeback season by Lidge or the acquisition of another closer).
Pedro Martinez-Last night's game was certainly not the way you wanted to end your Hall of Fame career. It was fun while it lasted but I'm not confident you will be able to perform at a high level for an entire season. Don't call us, we'll call you if we need your services at some point in 2010.
John Mayberry-I wasn't very impressed by your call-up when you filled in for the injured Ibanez. You appear to be a AAAA-level player. Hopefully, you can improve your hitting so you can succeed as a pinch hitter or as a fourth outfielder somewhere.
Jamie Moyer-It was a somewhat rough season for you but I do think you are still a good enough pitcher and you deserve a chance to be the #5 starter next year. Best of luck recovering from your offseason surgery.
Brett Myers-I've gotten used to your bizarre and often childish behavior (as demonstrated here, here, here and here), but you may be someone else's problem next year as you are a free agent. Whether or not you are back in Philadelphia may depend if you attempt to be a starter or a reliever next year. Despite your tumultuous tenure in Philadelphia, you have expressed an interest in returning and you do seem to fit in very well with your teammates.
Drew Naylor-You will be 24 next season and have not yet made it above single-A ball. It might be time to start thinking about life after baseball.
Chan Ho Park-I thought it was foolish to put you in the starting rotation, but after you were sent to the bullpen you emerged as the team's best reliever. You're a free agent this offseason, and I certainly wouldn't have a problem bringing you back in 2010.
Steven Register-Who?
Jimmy Rollins-You've experienced your third straight season of decline and at your age it may not be the last season of the slide. While it may be wise to trade you while you still have some val ue, I don't think it would be a good move to get rid of the team's leader who plays an important position defensively.
J.C. Romero-Injuries and a suspension made this a frustrating season for you but you still have a lot of talent and I look forward to watching you have a great season in 2010.
Carlos Ruiz-You're not going to confuse anyone with Ivan Rodriguez but you do a fine job for a #8 hitter and the pitchers and management seem to like the way you call games.
Matt Stairs-Your home run in the 2008 National League Championship Series will not be forgotten but a second-half of 2009 line of .070/.245/.186 makes me think that your career might be over. If you try to hang around for another year, I certainly wish you luck but I hope it is with a team outside of the Phillies.
Jack Taschner-Happy Jack, you are a class act but a borderline Major League pitcher. I hope you get the chance to make a Major League team next year either in Philadelphia or elsewhere.
Andy Tracy-As long as you want to continue living the Minor League lifestyle for five months of the year (and the Major League lifestyle for one with a September call-up), I'm fine with it.
Chase Utley-You are going to be one of the best players in baseball history never to win an MVP award. Keep up your level of production for a few more years, and we will be talking about you as a Hall of Fame second baseman.
Shane Victorino-You had another great year Shane, keep it up for 2010 and beyond!
Tyler Walker-You were a pleasant surprise for the bullpen and depending on what happens with Myers, Park and Lidge there might be room for you to get another crack at making the team in 2010.
Mike Zagurski-Injuries have derailed your career but hopefully you will get another chance at making the Major League roster soon after having a decent year at AA Reading.
Read more!
PHILLIES' ROOKIE OF THE YEAR: J.A. Happ
There's no doubt about this award as Happ is a favorite to win the National League Rookie of the Year as well. The 26-year-old left-hander's 2.93 ERA ranked eighth in the National League to go along with an impressive won-loss record of 12-4. No other rookie on the Phillies had close to this much of an impact on the team.
STEVE CARLTON AWARD: Joe Blanton
Blanton's 12-8 record with a 4.05 ERA may not be as good as Happ's numbers but Blanton wins the Steve Carlton Award because of the stretch of games from May 26th through September 5th. During this time period, Blanton was by far the team's most consistent starter. In these 18 appearances, Blanton failed to record a quality start only once, went at least five innings in every outing and logged a 2.59 ERA to go along with a 7-3 record. Blanton's ability to pitch lots of quality innings in this time period decreased the Phillies' reliance on a much maligned bullpen and minimized the number of starts needed from struggling starters such as Rodrigo Lopez, Antonio Bastardo and Jamie Moyer.
MOST VALUABLE PHILLIE: Chase Utley
A number of players could have won this award, including, but Utley has had the best all-around season. His .282 batting average and 31 home runs may not seem that impressive compared to the rest of the team, but Utley led the team with a .397 on-base percentage, which was especially important as he hit in front of mashers Ryan Howard, Jayson Werth and Raul Ibanez in the lineup. This contributed to Utley's team leading 112 runs, which was also the third best total in the National League. An argument for Shane Victorino to win this award could be based on his speed but Utley only stole two fewer bases than Victorino this year and, while Victorino was caught stealing eight times, Utley was not even caught once. Lastly, not only does Utley play a tough defensive position, he was the best fielder on the team, according to Fangraphs.
ADAM EATON AWARD: Brad Lidge
This is another very easy award to give as the numbers speak for themselves. Compare Lidge's excellent 2008 season to his, well not so excellent, 2009 season:
2008-72 games, 69 1/3 innings, 50 H (6.5/9 inn), 1.23 WHIP, 17 R (15 ER), 2-0, 1.95 ERA, 92 K, 42/42 SV
2009-67 games, 58 2/3 innings, 72 H (11.0/9 inn), 1.81 WHIP 51 R (47 ER), 0-8, 7.21 ERA, 61 K, 31/42 SV
LEAST VALUABLE PHILLIE: Lidge
See the commentary for the Adam Eaton award.
Lastly, I'll end with a blurb for each of the member of the Phillies' 40-man roster, reflecting on their 2009 season and what is in store for 2010:
Paul Bako-I will probably never fully warm up to you because you replaced Chris Coste as backup catcher but I don't really have anything against you personally. If you decide to play another season, I have no problem with you trying to earn the backup catcher's spot again.
Antonio Bastardo-You showed some impressive flashes this season. You still need to improve your pitching if you want to be a Major League starter. Hopefully, you will be back with the Phillies soon.
Joe Blanton-You were the Phillies' most consistent pitcher this year and I look forward to seeing what you are able to do in your contract year in 2010.
Eric Bruntlett-Even the 25th man on the roster should be able to hit a little bit. You're due a raise in arbitration from your $800,000 salary and I don't think you'll be worth it and should be non-tendered. Thanks for the unassisted triple play, Eric.
Miguel Cairo-I suppose the quality of your play is slightly above Bruntlett's. If you're willing to accept another 1 year, $500,000 contract, I'd welcome you back, if not, we can find your level of (lack of) production elsewhere.
Drew Carpenter-I haven't seen much promise from you yet and I doubt that you have a future in the Major Leagues. I guess you're okay as the guy who gets called up from AAA for a few days a year when the bullpen is worn out or the Phillies need a spot starter.
Clay Condrey-You got shoved out of the way during the postseason but I like what you've been able to do for the team the past two years and hope you can continue your strong play in 2010.
Greg Dobbs-2009 was a disappointment but I'm still happy with you as a left-handed option off of the bench. If the Phillies exercise Feliz's option, I'd be comfortable giving you some more starts next season.
Chad Durbin-The first half of 2008 was probably a fluke, but I think you're still good enough to keep a spot on the team for next year, if you are able to lower your walk rate as 6.1 walks per nine innings is unacceptable.
Sergio Escalona-I like your enthusiasm and think that you'll be a decent relief pitcher someday. You deserve a shot at making the Major League roster next year, especially if Scott Eyre retires.
Scott Eyre-If you choose to come back next year, I would welcome you back with open arms. You've done a tremendous job filling in as the top left-handed option in the bullpen with J.C. Romero suspended and injured for much of the season. You also are also a great clubhouse presence.
Pedro Feliz-Pete Happy, you represent one of the most difficult decisions for the Phillies this offseason. I've already covered your option for next year and I think it's going to be a close call as your offensive and defensive skills are on the decline. If the Phillies can't get anyone better in the offseason, then you should be back next year, otherwise, good luck in your hunt to land a starting job for next season, Pedro.
Ben Francisco-Well, my gut feeling that you would have a big postseason did not come to fruition, but I still think you are a very good fourth outfielder and will play an important role on the 2010 squad.
Cole Hamels-I was comparing your peripheral statistics the other day between 2008 and 2009 and noticed that they were eerily similar. You probably won't post a 3.09 ERA again but I suspect that you will return to ace form again. A lot of good, young pitchers (Justin Verlander, Jake Peavy) have had off years in their age 25 season and I suspect that you are no different.
J.A. Happ-As I stated earlier, you've had a fantastic season, possibly worthy of an NL Rookie of the Year award. I think the Phillies should reward you for your great season with a trade. Your peripheral numbers (such as a .270 BABIP and a whopping 85.2% of runners leyour great year and affordability, the Phillies should look to see what they can get for you in the trade market.
Paul Hoover-You aren't good enough to be on a Major League team but I don't think I've ever seen somebody not on the roster get so excited over playoff wins. Congratulations on having the last hit (a walkoff RBI single) of the Phillies' 2009 regular season.
Ryan Howard-You had another good year and I'm looking forward to seeing another 40+ home run, 130+ RBI season in 2010. However, when your contract is up after the 2012 season, I hope the Phillies let you move on rather than overpay to keep an aging slugger.
Raul Ibanez-That was certainly a great first season in Philadelphia, Rauuuuuul! Hopefully, 2010 and 2011 can be just as successful.
Kyle Kendrick-After the 2008 season I thought you were a lost cause but you didn't look too bad in 2009. Keep working on your pitches and I think you at least deserve a shot at being the #5 pitcher on the 2010 team.
Cliff Lee-I have no reason to believe that you can't be win the NL Cy Young Award in 2010. The Phillies have talked about giving you a contract extension this offseason but I don't think that's necessary given how cheap your option ($9 million) is for next year.
Brad Lidge-Well, this year was a disaster. Perhaps you are the type of player who just needs a change of scenery every couple of years (you experience similar trouble near the end of your Houston Astros career). Perhaps the Phillies will be able to match up with another team and engage in a "bad contract swap" and you will get a third chance to prove yourself.
Ryan Madson-You had another fine season although you did struggle at times in save opportunities in the ninth inning. I think you deserve an extended look in the ninth inning to see if you can be next year's "closer" (barring a comeback season by Lidge or the acquisition of another closer).
Pedro Martinez-Last night's game was certainly not the way you wanted to end your Hall of Fame career. It was fun while it lasted but I'm not confident you will be able to perform at a high level for an entire season. Don't call us, we'll call you if we need your services at some point in 2010.
John Mayberry-I wasn't very impressed by your call-up when you filled in for the injured Ibanez. You appear to be a AAAA-level player. Hopefully, you can improve your hitting so you can succeed as a pinch hitter or as a fourth outfielder somewhere.
Jamie Moyer-It was a somewhat rough season for you but I do think you are still a good enough pitcher and you deserve a chance to be the #5 starter next year. Best of luck recovering from your offseason surgery.
Brett Myers-I've gotten used to your bizarre and often childish behavior (as demonstrated here, here, here and here), but you may be someone else's problem next year as you are a free agent. Whether or not you are back in Philadelphia may depend if you attempt to be a starter or a reliever next year. Despite your tumultuous tenure in Philadelphia, you have expressed an interest in returning and you do seem to fit in very well with your teammates.
Drew Naylor-You will be 24 next season and have not yet made it above single-A ball. It might be time to start thinking about life after baseball.
Chan Ho Park-I thought it was foolish to put you in the starting rotation, but after you were sent to the bullpen you emerged as the team's best reliever. You're a free agent this offseason, and I certainly wouldn't have a problem bringing you back in 2010.
Steven Register-Who?
Jimmy Rollins-You've experienced your third straight season of decline and at your age it may not be the last season of the slide. While it may be wise to trade you while you still have some val ue, I don't think it would be a good move to get rid of the team's leader who plays an important position defensively.
J.C. Romero-Injuries and a suspension made this a frustrating season for you but you still have a lot of talent and I look forward to watching you have a great season in 2010.
Carlos Ruiz-You're not going to confuse anyone with Ivan Rodriguez but you do a fine job for a #8 hitter and the pitchers and management seem to like the way you call games.
Matt Stairs-Your home run in the 2008 National League Championship Series will not be forgotten but a second-half of 2009 line of .070/.245/.186 makes me think that your career might be over. If you try to hang around for another year, I certainly wish you luck but I hope it is with a team outside of the Phillies.
Jack Taschner-Happy Jack, you are a class act but a borderline Major League pitcher. I hope you get the chance to make a Major League team next year either in Philadelphia or elsewhere.
Andy Tracy-As long as you want to continue living the Minor League lifestyle for five months of the year (and the Major League lifestyle for one with a September call-up), I'm fine with it.
Chase Utley-You are going to be one of the best players in baseball history never to win an MVP award. Keep up your level of production for a few more years, and we will be talking about you as a Hall of Fame second baseman.
Shane Victorino-You had another great year Shane, keep it up for 2010 and beyond!
Tyler Walker-You were a pleasant surprise for the bullpen and depending on what happens with Myers, Park and Lidge there might be room for you to get another crack at making the team in 2010.
Mike Zagurski-Injuries have derailed your career but hopefully you will get another chance at making the Major League roster soon after having a decent year at AA Reading.
Read more!
Thursday, October 1, 2009
Playoff Rosters: Redux
A couple of weeks ago, Dan Trubman previewed the Phillies' potential playoff roster here. Since then, a few things have changed: injuries to Brett Myers, Chan Ho Park and Jamie Moyer, the emergence of a closer (Ryan Madson) and the fact that the Phillies have actually clinched the National League East. The team still have several days before they need to finalize their roster for the playoffs but it can't hurt to see what the postseason roster would look like right now.Barring injury, the Phillies' offense is pretty much set for the playoffs as follows:
C: Carlos Ruiz
C: Paul Bako
1B: Ryan Howard
2B: Chase Utley
SS: Jimmy Rollins
3B: Pedro Feliz
IF: Greg Dobbs
IF: Eric Bruntlett
LF: Raul Ibanez
CF: Shane Victorino
RF: Jayson Werth
OF: Ben Francisco
OF: Matt Stairs
That is 13 position players that the Phillies will definitely bring to the playoffs. The only possible addition among position players would be utilityman Miguel Cairo.
The following pitchers will definitely included on the postseason roster (barring further injury):
Cole Hamels
Cliff Lee
Joe Blanton
Pedro Martinez
J.A. Happ
Ryan Madson
That brings the roster to a total of 19 players. Martinez would likely be the fourth starter and Happ would go to the bullpen due to a lack of left-handed relievers, Happ's success in the bullpen earlier in the season and Martinez's struggles in the first inning this season (opponents are hitting .305/.390/.700 against Martinez in the first inning). Brett Myers, Chan Ho Park, Scott Eyre and J.C. Romero will also be added the postseason roster if they are healthy. Eyre, Myers and Romero have so far returned to games and Park should return this weekend. Provided that all four are able to pitch for the playoffs, that would leave just two roster spots open. Those two spots would likely be filled by two of Brad Lidge, Kyle Kendrick, Chad Durbin, Tyler Walker and Clay Condrey.
Lidge's struggles this season have been well-documented and Manuel has showed enormous patience with Lidge and loyalty by letting him throw to the final batter in Wednesday's clincher against the Houston Astros. I imagine Manuel will keep Lidge on the postseason roster (and may even use him in high leverage or closing situations), though Lidge should be left off of the roster.
The Kendrick situation has been covered here. While Kendrick has been lights out in September, I don't think there's currently an opening for Kendrick on the playoff roster but he should travel with the team to serve as an emergency starter in case Martinez's neck prevents him from making a start or another pitcher is injured.
Durbin was an integral part of the 2008 World Series team but has struggled with inconsistency and injury this season, although he has posted a 1.98 ERA in September.
Walker has been a pleasant surprise this year but has struggled lately posting a 6.52 ERA in September. His recent collapse will probably cost him a spot in the postseason bullpen.
Condrey will probably get a spot on the team. He has pitched well all season and has not allowed an earned since his return from the disabled list on September 19.
I would probably choose Durbin and Condrey for the final two spots on the team due to their recent strong performances, playoff experience and ability to pitch multiple innings. However, if either of them falter in the last weekend they should be replaced by one of the other candidates.
Let's start a prediction pool. Entries are due by the final pitch of the regular season, reply to this thread on the blog on whether or not the following players will make the postseason roster:
-Eric Bruntlett
-Miguel Cairo
-Brett Myers
-Chan Ho Park
-Scott Eyre
-J.C. Romero
-Brad Lidge
-Kyle Kendrick
-Chad Durbin
-Tyler Walker
-Clay Condrey
-Sergio Escalona
-Jack Taschner Read more!
C: Carlos Ruiz
C: Paul Bako
1B: Ryan Howard
2B: Chase Utley
SS: Jimmy Rollins
3B: Pedro Feliz
IF: Greg Dobbs
IF: Eric Bruntlett
LF: Raul Ibanez
CF: Shane Victorino
RF: Jayson Werth
OF: Ben Francisco
OF: Matt Stairs
That is 13 position players that the Phillies will definitely bring to the playoffs. The only possible addition among position players would be utilityman Miguel Cairo.
The following pitchers will definitely included on the postseason roster (barring further injury):
Cole Hamels
Cliff Lee
Joe Blanton
Pedro Martinez
J.A. Happ
Ryan Madson
That brings the roster to a total of 19 players. Martinez would likely be the fourth starter and Happ would go to the bullpen due to a lack of left-handed relievers, Happ's success in the bullpen earlier in the season and Martinez's struggles in the first inning this season (opponents are hitting .305/.390/.700 against Martinez in the first inning). Brett Myers, Chan Ho Park, Scott Eyre and J.C. Romero will also be added the postseason roster if they are healthy. Eyre, Myers and Romero have so far returned to games and Park should return this weekend. Provided that all four are able to pitch for the playoffs, that would leave just two roster spots open. Those two spots would likely be filled by two of Brad Lidge, Kyle Kendrick, Chad Durbin, Tyler Walker and Clay Condrey.
Lidge's struggles this season have been well-documented and Manuel has showed enormous patience with Lidge and loyalty by letting him throw to the final batter in Wednesday's clincher against the Houston Astros. I imagine Manuel will keep Lidge on the postseason roster (and may even use him in high leverage or closing situations), though Lidge should be left off of the roster.
The Kendrick situation has been covered here. While Kendrick has been lights out in September, I don't think there's currently an opening for Kendrick on the playoff roster but he should travel with the team to serve as an emergency starter in case Martinez's neck prevents him from making a start or another pitcher is injured.
Durbin was an integral part of the 2008 World Series team but has struggled with inconsistency and injury this season, although he has posted a 1.98 ERA in September.
Walker has been a pleasant surprise this year but has struggled lately posting a 6.52 ERA in September. His recent collapse will probably cost him a spot in the postseason bullpen.
Condrey will probably get a spot on the team. He has pitched well all season and has not allowed an earned since his return from the disabled list on September 19.
I would probably choose Durbin and Condrey for the final two spots on the team due to their recent strong performances, playoff experience and ability to pitch multiple innings. However, if either of them falter in the last weekend they should be replaced by one of the other candidates.
Let's start a prediction pool. Entries are due by the final pitch of the regular season, reply to this thread on the blog on whether or not the following players will make the postseason roster:
-Eric Bruntlett
-Miguel Cairo
-Brett Myers
-Chan Ho Park
-Scott Eyre
-J.C. Romero
-Brad Lidge
-Kyle Kendrick
-Chad Durbin
-Tyler Walker
-Clay Condrey
-Sergio Escalona
-Jack Taschner Read more!
Tuesday, September 15, 2009
Building a 25 man roster (without Lidge).
First I want to thank Nick for letting me post here. But considering I'm like 80% of the comments, it only seems fair.
So anyway, with the Phillies a solid 7 games up, it's time to start thinking ahead to constructing a 25 man roster. The Phillies are actually in pretty good shape here, if anything, they have too many players who "deserve" a spot or who you can imagine being able to contribute.
One last comment before I get started: I'm pretty much going on the assumption that all the players on the 15 day DL will be back and close to 100% by the playoffs, and if I understand what the Phillies are saying, so are they.
First I'll list the players who I think are pretty uncontroversial, in no particular order.
Position Players (9):
Ryan Howard
Jimmy Rollins
Chase Utley
Pedro Feliz
Carlos Ruiz
Paul Bako
Paul Ibanez
Shane Victorino
Jayson Werth
Pitchers (8):
Joe Blanton
Cole Hamels
J.A. Happ
Cliff Lee
Ryan Madson
Jamie Moyer
Chan Ho Park
J.C. Romero
That's 17 picks, leaving 8 picks to go.
Position Players (3):
Ben Francisco
This guy would be (and has been) an everyday player on other teams. I could even see him starting a game here and there, but he also could be used as a pinch hitter who could also play effective defensive (sorry Matt Stairs).
Matt Stairs
Though he's definitely been cold this half hits wise, he's still a powerful lefty, and even though he's carrying a pretty weak AVG, his OBP is still a decent .359. Honestly, at least he's a lot better than John Mayberry at the whole pinch hitting thing.
Eric Bruntlett
Ok, they guy isn't really a major league level hitter. But he can play pretty much every position, including most importantly (if not fantastically) SS and 2B. Also qualifies under the unassisted triple play clause.
That leaves room for 5 more pitchers. I know that having 13 pitchers may seem like a tad overkill, but honestly, it's not the scoring runs that scares me, it's the pitching. I really can't justify adding Miguel Cairo. One could argue that Dobbs deserves a spot, and if he makes a speedy recovery, maybe he does. But he's not been the amazing pinch hitter he was last year.
Now before we proceed, let's remember that especially in a short playoff series, it's pretty likely you won't use a 4th starter, and very possible won't use a 5th.
Assuming a rotation of Lee, Hamels, Happ, and Blanton, it's not obvious they need another guy who can start, and even if they do, Moyer could fill that spot. But, it's never bad to have a guy who can go more than a few frames, so let's give Pedro Martinez a spot (21). Some might say this is obvious, but the dude's pitched 119 and 130 pitches in his last 2 starts. But, considering how great he was on Sunday night, and assuming the Phillies can give him some rest between now and then, he should be good to go. He even seems willing to work out of the bullpen, and even if he's not 100%, I know I wouldn't want to see him in the 9th inning.
For spot number 22, I'm going with Scott Eyre. This overlooked lefty has posted some great numbers this year, even if his K/BB ratio isn't great. Even if he's just a situational lefty, that could be pretty useful.
Assuming he gets healthy and is ready, I'd give the next spot to Clay Condrey. With a WHIP of 1.24 and a GO/AO ratio of 2.18 (and a career 1.68) he's definitely a guy who can contribute.
For the penultimate spot, I'm going with Tyler Walker. This guy has been awesome this year. 19 strikes against only 6 walks. a WHIP of 0.89. Only 2 HR in 27 innings. Arguably he's having an abnormal year. But it's mid-September. I have no reason to believe he's going to collapse.
For the final spot, I'm going with Brett Myers. This pick is based on the trouble the Phillies have had in the 9th inning. I'm not really a big fan of the idea of a "closer" but it does seem a little true that some very good pitchers, given the ball in the 9th inning fall apart (sorry Madson). As Mitch Williams says, some players need to have that type of craziness that let's them excel in that position. And among the countless types of crazy that one could attrbute to Myers, it's the closer type of crazy that matters here. I'd rather have the 9th inning be demystified, but until then, Myers might be the guy.
So yeah, I left Lidge off. It's been done before. Well sorta. Remember Adam Eaton. Actually, don't remember Adam Eaton. I apologize to those who just had flashbacks to one of any number of horrible memories provided by him. Lidge simply has not proven his ability to get guys out when it counts. Even last year, every Lidge appearance was a rollercoster. But this year, it's not even fun, it just seems inevitable. Could things change? I guess. If Pedro can't recover from 130 pitches, if Happ isn't ready, same for Romero. But honestly, I'm not sure he get's the 26th spot, or even the 27th. I think I would rather have Dobbs, or even maybe Cairo, shit maybe even Sergio Escalona, with his 6.1 innings this year.
Read more!
So anyway, with the Phillies a solid 7 games up, it's time to start thinking ahead to constructing a 25 man roster. The Phillies are actually in pretty good shape here, if anything, they have too many players who "deserve" a spot or who you can imagine being able to contribute.
One last comment before I get started: I'm pretty much going on the assumption that all the players on the 15 day DL will be back and close to 100% by the playoffs, and if I understand what the Phillies are saying, so are they.
First I'll list the players who I think are pretty uncontroversial, in no particular order.
Position Players (9):
Ryan Howard
Jimmy Rollins
Chase Utley
Pedro Feliz
Carlos Ruiz
Paul Bako
Paul Ibanez
Shane Victorino
Jayson Werth
Pitchers (8):
Joe Blanton
Cole Hamels
J.A. Happ
Cliff Lee
Ryan Madson
Jamie Moyer
Chan Ho Park
J.C. Romero
That's 17 picks, leaving 8 picks to go.
Position Players (3):
Ben Francisco
This guy would be (and has been) an everyday player on other teams. I could even see him starting a game here and there, but he also could be used as a pinch hitter who could also play effective defensive (sorry Matt Stairs).
Matt Stairs
Though he's definitely been cold this half hits wise, he's still a powerful lefty, and even though he's carrying a pretty weak AVG, his OBP is still a decent .359. Honestly, at least he's a lot better than John Mayberry at the whole pinch hitting thing.
Eric Bruntlett
Ok, they guy isn't really a major league level hitter. But he can play pretty much every position, including most importantly (if not fantastically) SS and 2B. Also qualifies under the unassisted triple play clause.
That leaves room for 5 more pitchers. I know that having 13 pitchers may seem like a tad overkill, but honestly, it's not the scoring runs that scares me, it's the pitching. I really can't justify adding Miguel Cairo. One could argue that Dobbs deserves a spot, and if he makes a speedy recovery, maybe he does. But he's not been the amazing pinch hitter he was last year.
Now before we proceed, let's remember that especially in a short playoff series, it's pretty likely you won't use a 4th starter, and very possible won't use a 5th.
Assuming a rotation of Lee, Hamels, Happ, and Blanton, it's not obvious they need another guy who can start, and even if they do, Moyer could fill that spot. But, it's never bad to have a guy who can go more than a few frames, so let's give Pedro Martinez a spot (21). Some might say this is obvious, but the dude's pitched 119 and 130 pitches in his last 2 starts. But, considering how great he was on Sunday night, and assuming the Phillies can give him some rest between now and then, he should be good to go. He even seems willing to work out of the bullpen, and even if he's not 100%, I know I wouldn't want to see him in the 9th inning.
For spot number 22, I'm going with Scott Eyre. This overlooked lefty has posted some great numbers this year, even if his K/BB ratio isn't great. Even if he's just a situational lefty, that could be pretty useful.
Assuming he gets healthy and is ready, I'd give the next spot to Clay Condrey. With a WHIP of 1.24 and a GO/AO ratio of 2.18 (and a career 1.68) he's definitely a guy who can contribute.
For the penultimate spot, I'm going with Tyler Walker. This guy has been awesome this year. 19 strikes against only 6 walks. a WHIP of 0.89. Only 2 HR in 27 innings. Arguably he's having an abnormal year. But it's mid-September. I have no reason to believe he's going to collapse.
For the final spot, I'm going with Brett Myers. This pick is based on the trouble the Phillies have had in the 9th inning. I'm not really a big fan of the idea of a "closer" but it does seem a little true that some very good pitchers, given the ball in the 9th inning fall apart (sorry Madson). As Mitch Williams says, some players need to have that type of craziness that let's them excel in that position. And among the countless types of crazy that one could attrbute to Myers, it's the closer type of crazy that matters here. I'd rather have the 9th inning be demystified, but until then, Myers might be the guy.
So yeah, I left Lidge off. It's been done before. Well sorta. Remember Adam Eaton. Actually, don't remember Adam Eaton. I apologize to those who just had flashbacks to one of any number of horrible memories provided by him. Lidge simply has not proven his ability to get guys out when it counts. Even last year, every Lidge appearance was a rollercoster. But this year, it's not even fun, it just seems inevitable. Could things change? I guess. If Pedro can't recover from 130 pitches, if Happ isn't ready, same for Romero. But honestly, I'm not sure he get's the 26th spot, or even the 27th. I think I would rather have Dobbs, or even maybe Cairo, shit maybe even Sergio Escalona, with his 6.1 innings this year.
Read more!
Wednesday, August 26, 2009
Who needs a closer?
As has been one of the recurring themes of the Phillies this season, just when Brad Lidge looked like he has finally gotten into a groove as closer, he blows another game as what happened last night in Pittsburgh. As good as Lidge says he feels, the Phillies cannot continue to go forward with a closer who blows over a quarter of his games.
This brings up a larger question: is it necessary to have a special pitcher to pitch the ninth inning in a close game?
Let's take a look at the past four games (there were three save opprotunities during these four games and Lidge converted two of these opprotunities).
August 22: J.A. Happ goes 7 innings and leaves for a pinch hitter. Ryan Madson pitches the 8th inning with a 4-1 lead and records 2 strikeouts in a perfect inning throwing just 11 pitches. Lidge pitches a 1-2-3 9th innings, also recording 2 strikeouts. Although Lidge got the save here, why not let Madson come back out for the 9th since he did so well in the 8th inning? His spot in the batting order didn't come up in the top of the ninth and there was no guarantee that Lidge would be effective throwing in the bottom of the ninth.
August 23: Pedro throws 6 innings and leaves with a 8-4 lead. Durbin gives up a run in the 7th and is pinch hit for and Madson gives up a run in the 8th. Lidge enters the game with a 9-6 lead and surrenders an unearned run before having Francoeur line into the unassisted triple play to end the game. This was a good situation to use Lidge. Durbin and Madson were not effective and since it was a close game, it make sense to use your "best" reliever here.
August 24: Cliff Lee gets pinch hit for after 7 innings and Chan Ho Park throws a perfect eighth and leaves with a 5-2 lead. The Phillies score one run in the top of the ninth but Park's batting spot does not come up. Lidge pitches a 1-2-3 9th inning. I do not understand why Lidge was brought into the game here. I did not see the game but I suppose Lidge had been warming up in the top of the ninth when the Phillies still had just a three run lead and the game was still a save situation and I suppose that Manuel wanted Lidge to enter the game if he had been warming. However, why have Lidge even warm up? Lidge had already thrown in the past two games and the Phillies had a three-run lead against a bad Mets' offense that had only been able to muster two unearned runs all game (back in the first inning) and the Phillies already had a pitcher on the mound in Park who has no problems pitching for multiple innings and looked great in the 8th inning.
August 25: Joe Blanton throws six innings and then Tyler Walker relives him and throws two scoreless innings before he is pinch hit for in the top of the ninth and the Phillies rally to take a 4-3 lead on the Pirates. Brad Lidge enters the game and six pitches later the Pirates win 6-4. While this was an ideal situation to use Lidge in a "closer's role", this blowup could have occured because Lidge had thrown in the past three games. Had Lidge even thrown one of those three games, his arm may have been much sharper.
Instead of panicking over who should be the Phillies' "closer" just for the ninth inning in a close game, the Phillies should instead focus on having the best reliever (or whoever is throwing the ball well at the moment) pitch in late game, high leverage situations.
Read more!
This brings up a larger question: is it necessary to have a special pitcher to pitch the ninth inning in a close game?
Let's take a look at the past four games (there were three save opprotunities during these four games and Lidge converted two of these opprotunities).
August 22: J.A. Happ goes 7 innings and leaves for a pinch hitter. Ryan Madson pitches the 8th inning with a 4-1 lead and records 2 strikeouts in a perfect inning throwing just 11 pitches. Lidge pitches a 1-2-3 9th innings, also recording 2 strikeouts. Although Lidge got the save here, why not let Madson come back out for the 9th since he did so well in the 8th inning? His spot in the batting order didn't come up in the top of the ninth and there was no guarantee that Lidge would be effective throwing in the bottom of the ninth.
August 23: Pedro throws 6 innings and leaves with a 8-4 lead. Durbin gives up a run in the 7th and is pinch hit for and Madson gives up a run in the 8th. Lidge enters the game with a 9-6 lead and surrenders an unearned run before having Francoeur line into the unassisted triple play to end the game. This was a good situation to use Lidge. Durbin and Madson were not effective and since it was a close game, it make sense to use your "best" reliever here.
August 24: Cliff Lee gets pinch hit for after 7 innings and Chan Ho Park throws a perfect eighth and leaves with a 5-2 lead. The Phillies score one run in the top of the ninth but Park's batting spot does not come up. Lidge pitches a 1-2-3 9th inning. I do not understand why Lidge was brought into the game here. I did not see the game but I suppose Lidge had been warming up in the top of the ninth when the Phillies still had just a three run lead and the game was still a save situation and I suppose that Manuel wanted Lidge to enter the game if he had been warming. However, why have Lidge even warm up? Lidge had already thrown in the past two games and the Phillies had a three-run lead against a bad Mets' offense that had only been able to muster two unearned runs all game (back in the first inning) and the Phillies already had a pitcher on the mound in Park who has no problems pitching for multiple innings and looked great in the 8th inning.
August 25: Joe Blanton throws six innings and then Tyler Walker relives him and throws two scoreless innings before he is pinch hit for in the top of the ninth and the Phillies rally to take a 4-3 lead on the Pirates. Brad Lidge enters the game and six pitches later the Pirates win 6-4. While this was an ideal situation to use Lidge in a "closer's role", this blowup could have occured because Lidge had thrown in the past three games. Had Lidge even thrown one of those three games, his arm may have been much sharper.
Instead of panicking over who should be the Phillies' "closer" just for the ninth inning in a close game, the Phillies should instead focus on having the best reliever (or whoever is throwing the ball well at the moment) pitch in late game, high leverage situations.
Read more!
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